Saturday, February 23, 2008

Deceive then Protect (cash)

DEFINITION


My pre-flop raise may have deceived my opponent since most people don't raise with J9 suited. I had been watching my opponent earlier and noticed some questionable plays on his part. So when he limped into the pot, I suspected this play might work.

I was lucky to flop top pair, but worried a little about the potential for a flush. The turn didn't put a third club out there, but did put a possible straight out there. I figured that a gutshot straight would beat me, but I wanted to be sure to make him pay for a flush draw. Having watched this player, I knew he would gamble with a draw.

Interestingly, this is the kind of hand that generates pots that create a winning or losing session. In this case, my opponent was getting 2-to-1 on his money. Any pot bet gives your opponent 2-to-1 to call. Since he had an open ended straight draw and could win with a set or two pair (giving him 14 outs), he had a 30% chance to hit the winning card. Therefore, he was very close to getting actual pot odds.

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