GOOD BEAT
This hand is the kind of hand you always dream about. Pre-flop, aces in the hole dominates as the 69% favorite. Even the 95s beats me at 18% since the case ace doesn't help me.
However, the flop changes these percentages drastically. Everything nearly reverses when I hit my trips. I become a 67% favorite and the pocket aces goes down to 8%. The 95s has a decent chance to win at 25%, but since he had a short stack, I would still take down the side pot against the pocket aces.
The big mistake here was when Player 9 overvalued his aces and re-raised on the flop. He should have worried that I might have had a 3 when I raised. However, Player 9 must have decided I had either a flush draw or the J. It was obviously a mistake. He may have thought his aces were good since the flow of the table prior to this hand was quite carefree. There was a lot of gambling and loose play, so that may have altered his viewpoint. At the same time, he may have been one of those players that have difficulty laying down aces. Remember the old saying, pocket aces can win small pots and lose big ones.
The Great Garry Gates
6 years ago
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