Thursday, December 31, 2009

Runner Runner Boat (tourney)

BAD BEAT

I flopped the nut flush and there's almost nothing that could beat me after the flop. I'm a 92% favorite and only the 4 of hearts would give one of my opponents a straight flush. But that's just one out, so I'm not worried about that. In fact, I'm not even worried about the raise that happens on the flop. At best, I figured my opponent would have a set, so rather than re-raising, I decide to just call and raise on the turn instead. But another two comes out, and that makes me worry that I'm beat. So I just call to see the river. Then, another deuce turns over and I realize that top pair on the flop is good enough.

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Gutshot Straight on River (cash)

BAD BEAT

I probably should have bet on the turn, but I was a little worried about the villain check-raising me. He had raised pre-flop and I wondered if he had an ace. The check was cautious, but it hurt me since the villain caught his straight on the river. Four outs was enough to win the pot.

Saturday, December 26, 2009

I Nearly Crack Aces (cash)

BAD BEAT

My mistake was not pushing it all-in on the turn when I hit two pair. My opponent checked on the flop trying to slow-play and actually allowed me to turn two pair. But I got scared when he did a minimum raise, thinking he might have tried to slow-play on the flop with KJ. I thought he might have two pair on the turn, just like me. Instead of being scared, I should have been aggressive and pushed it in on the turn. He probably would have called, but there was a chance he would have folded which would have given me the pot.

I was an 82% favorite on the turn with two pair. Interestingly, the roles were reversed pre-flop and on the flop.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Aces Cracked by Worst Hand (cash)

BAD BEAT

Sometimes you go through a bad spell of bad luck and when this hand took place, I was on a losing streak across several fronts. Is it the universe reading my negativity, or just the strange winds of chance that took a different turn? The AJ was a 6% dog pre-flop, but that obviously changed on the flop. However, he became the dog again on the turn when T9s turned a straight. But Lady Luck was with the button as you'll see on the river.

I think I'll try raising on the flop next time to see where I am and just fold on the turn if I don't get help.

Strange, Questionable Hand (cash)

I got out of this hand, but here's the kind of hand that would infuriate me. How does someone with a pair of nines not only stay in the hand, but bet out the entire way? It's almost as if he knew he would hit that gutshot or another nine to win the hand. These are the kinds of players you can win money off of, but also lose money because of their strange luck.

Saturday, December 5, 2009

Big Stack BS Once more (tourney)

BAD BEAT

Once again, the big stack hits a miracle river to take the hand and knock two players out. The big stack was the dog pre-flop, on the flop, and the turn. He was just a 17% dog on the flop and turn. I don't understand how this seems to happen so often, but I can't help but really consider that the programming has some issues.